Botev Vratsa 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.91
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
44%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
14%
+11.6pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.3pp
44%
Away Win
64%
-20.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 69%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.60/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.62
+102% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
206 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.04.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BULK
10.04.2025 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BULK
15.03.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
29.09.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-2 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.12.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-0 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
08.04.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 8-1 HT 3-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
0-1
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
25% Ball Possession 75%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad squeezed past Botev Vratsa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 25% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 75%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Botev Vratsa and 3.50 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Botev Vratsa 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 26%, draw 30%, Ludogorets Razgrad 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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