Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 25 Jul 2025

Parnu JK Vaprus
2-2 HT 1-1
Harju Jalgpallikool
📅25/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Estonia - Premium League – 2025

Parnu JK Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parnu JK Vaprus v Harju Jalgpallikool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 25%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.50/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.00
-17% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +68%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Parnu JK Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.04.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
05.04.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
27.10.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-0 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
02.09.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-4 HT 0-2 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
28.05.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
28.04.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1

Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 Harju Jalgpallikool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
2-2
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
61% Ball Possession 39%
32 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 2
17 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus and Harju Jalgpallikool couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Parnu JK Vaprus at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 61% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 39%, shots finished 32-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 0.50 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 48%, draw 24%, Harju Jalgpallikool 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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