Yaracuyanos 1-2 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
51%
Away Win
62%
-10.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yaracuyanos EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 66%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.50/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.59
-14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
15.0 Crosses 21.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yaracuyanos
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Carabobo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 2.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
179 Passes 281
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
7 Box Touches 32
3 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 2-2 HT 0-1 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos VEN
10.10.2021 Carabobo Carabobo 2-0 HT 1-0 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos VEN
20.08.2021 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos 1-1 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
14.05.2021 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos 1-2 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
02.12.2020 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
01.11.2020 Carabobo Carabobo 0-2 HT 0-1 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yaracuyanos
1-2
AWAY Carabobo
0.87 xG 1.63
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
277 Passes 202
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
7 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yaracuyanos vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo squeezed past Yaracuyanos 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yaracuyanos had 57% of the ball to Carabobo's 43%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.87 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yaracuyanos and 1.33 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Yaracuyanos vs Carabobo?

Yaracuyanos 1-2 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yaracuyanos vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Yaracuyanos 22%, draw 27%, Carabobo 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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