Portuguesa FC 0-1 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.00/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.98
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.2 Crosses 17.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Monagas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.15 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
252 Passes 231
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2025 Monagas Monagas 0-2 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
28.08.2024 Monagas Monagas 4-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
09.03.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
06.08.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
10.04.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-2 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
11.09.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
0-1
AWAY Monagas
2.08 xG 1.08
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
299 Passes 139
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas edged past Portuguesa FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Monagas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 66% of the ball to Monagas's 34%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.08 to 1.08 — on chances, Portuguesa FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Portuguesa FC and 1.83 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Monagas?

Portuguesa FC 0-1 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 35%, draw 28%, Monagas 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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