Atletico Rafaela 1-0 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.7pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.16/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.88
+7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Rafaela
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
274 Passes 215
67% Pass Accuracy 64%
24.06.2026 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
20.07.2024 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-5 HT 0-3 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
01.03.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
24.04.2022 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-1 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
07.06.2015 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 2-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJ
23.05.2004 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJ
FAQ Atletico Rafaela vs Nueva Chicago
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Atletico Rafaela edged past Nueva Chicago 1-0 in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nueva Chicago lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Rafaela and 1.67 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Atletico Rafaela vs Nueva Chicago?

Atletico Rafaela 1-0 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Rafaela vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Rafaela win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Rafaela 37%, draw 33%, Nueva Chicago 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Rafaela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Rafaela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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