FC Fredericia 3-0 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.75
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
14%
4.46
X/2
7%
9.02
X/X
7%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.1
2/2
10%
6.59
2/X
5%
14.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
53%
+7.0pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.1pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.75/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.50
+4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.5 Crosses 13.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY HB Koge
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.17 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
481 Passes 347
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
40 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-2 HT 1-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
01.09.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 3-4 HT 2-3 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
16.03.2024 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 2-2 HT 0-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
27.08.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
13.05.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
16.04.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 6-1 HT 2-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
3-0
AWAY HB Koge
1.87 xG 0.49
24 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
409 Passes 383
34 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ FC Fredericia vs HB Koge
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FC Fredericia ran out comfortable winners over HB Koge 3-0 in the Denmark 1st Division on 25 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 1.87 to 0.49.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Fredericia have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Fredericia and 1.67 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs HB Koge?

FC Fredericia 3-0 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fredericia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 60%, draw 18%, HB Koge 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Fredericia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Fredericia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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