Haka 3-1 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 25 Jul 2026

Haka
3-1 HT 2-1
KaPa
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.32
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.61
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
29%
2.48
6+ Goals
14%
5.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
71%
+1.0pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.4pp
10%
Away Win
12%
-1.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.6pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
2.77/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/3.09
+15% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
0W-2D-0L
AWAY KaPa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2026 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
14.02.2026 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FINYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
3-1
AWAY KaPa
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Haka vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka saw off KaPa 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Haka as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Haka and 1.50 for KaPa.

What was the final score of Haka vs KaPa?

Haka 3-1 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Haka 72%, draw 17%, KaPa 10%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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