Mikkeli 3-3 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
54%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 27% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
54%
Away Win
60%
-5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 64%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.08/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.57
+11% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
1W-0D-5L
AWAY KTP Kotka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.04.2026 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-0 HT 0-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
06.10.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-5 HT 0-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
02.06.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-2 HT 0-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
13.04.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-0 HT 0-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
17.02.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-5 HT 0-3 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FINYK
16.08.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 3-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mikkeli and KTP Kotka couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KTP Kotka at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mikkeli and 2.83 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs KTP Kotka?

Mikkeli 3-3 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Ykkönen on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated an KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 20%, draw 26%, KTP Kotka 54%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KTP Kotka), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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