KTP Kotka 1-0 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
7.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.0pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.2pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.8pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
2.90/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.70
+20% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Mikkeli
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-5 HT 0-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
02.06.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-2 HT 0-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
13.04.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-0 HT 0-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
17.02.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-5 HT 0-3 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FINYK
16.08.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 3-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
01.07.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-1 HT 2-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
1-0
AWAY Mikkeli
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka squeezed past Mikkeli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 57% of the ball to Mikkeli's 43%, shots finished 20-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for KTP Kotka and 1.00 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs Mikkeli?

KTP Kotka 1-0 Mikkeli in the Finland - Ykkönen on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 63%, draw 21%, Mikkeli 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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