Burgos 1-1 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

Burgos
1-1 HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao II
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Burgos vs Athletic Bilbao II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burgos v Athletic Bilbao II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 19%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-1% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +92%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Burgos vs Athletic Bilbao II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.05.2021 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
10.11.2019 Burgos Burgos 2-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
01.08.2018 Burgos Burgos 1-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II HAZ
14.04.2018 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 3-1 HT 1-1 Burgos Burgos İS3
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos and Athletic Bilbao II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Burgos at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Burgos had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Burgos and 1.00 for Athletic Bilbao II.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Burgos 1-1 Athletic Bilbao II in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Burgos 50%, draw 24%, Athletic Bilbao II 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burgos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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