Girona vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Girona v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Girona 0-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves edged past Girona 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Girona at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Girona had 61% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 39%, shots finished 17-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Girona and 0.83 for Deportivo Alaves.
Girona vs Deportivo Alaves Result & Final Score
Girona 0 - 1 Deportivo Alaves in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Girona vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Girona 41%, draw 29%, Deportivo Alaves 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Girona) went the other way.