Girona vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Girona 0-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves edged past Girona 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Girona at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, shots finished 17-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Girona and 0.83 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Girona vs Deportivo Alaves?
Girona 0-1 Deportivo Alaves in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Girona 43%, draw 27%, Deportivo Alaves 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Girona) went the other way.