Matsumoto Yamaga 3-0 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 Passes 186
67% Pass Accuracy 59%
18 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2026 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2-3
28.02.2026 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2-3
14.11.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 3-2 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
17.04.2021 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 3-3 HT 1-3 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
13.12.2020 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
04.07.2020 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga ran out comfortable winners over Ventforet Kofu 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Matsumoto Yamaga found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.50 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

Matsumoto Yamaga 3-0 Ventforet Kofu in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 37%, draw 27%, Ventforet Kofu 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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