Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.85
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.0pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.66/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.67
+46% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +58%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
226 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.4 Crosses 15.6
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2026 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2-3
14.11.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 3-2 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
17.04.2021 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 3-3 HT 1-3 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
13.12.2020 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
04.07.2020 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
14.04.2018 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
0-1
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
306 Passes 186
67% Pass Accuracy 59%
18 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu nicked a narrow win over Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Ventforet Kofu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 59% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 41%, shots finished 16-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.33 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 Ventforet Kofu in the JAP2-3 on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 39%, draw 31%, Ventforet Kofu 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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