Fukushima United 1-2 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
53%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.1
2-3 Goals
34%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
8.19
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.8 — our 31% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
53%
Away Win
48%
+5.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.3pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
2.30/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.33
+75% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -62%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses 20.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fukushima United
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
292 Passes 429
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
4 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2026 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 6-0 HT 2-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP2-3
13.10.2024 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 3-2 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
21.04.2024 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-2 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
1-2
AWAY Omiya Ardija
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
202 Passes 242
63% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija squeezed past Fukushima United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Fukushima United had 48% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 52%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fukushima United and 3.67 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija?

Fukushima United 1-2 Omiya Ardija in the JAP2-3 on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 26%, draw 20%, Omiya Ardija 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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