Vanraure Hachinohe 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
51%
+3.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanraure Hachinohe EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 27%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/3.68
-100% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -70%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses 23.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanraure Hachinohe
3W-0D-0L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
165 Passes 482
62% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2026 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 HT 0-0 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe JAP2-3
12.10.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-4 HT 0-3 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe JAP3
22.06.2025 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 2-0 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanraure Hachinohe
0-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
310 Passes 218
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vanraure Hachinohe vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ThespaKusatsu Gunma squeezed past Vanraure Hachinohe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vanraure Hachinohe at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Vanraure Hachinohe had 55% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 45%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vanraure Hachinohe had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vanraure Hachinohe and 0.00 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Vanraure Hachinohe vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Vanraure Hachinohe 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the JAP2-3 on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanraure Hachinohe vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanraure Hachinohe win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Vanraure Hachinohe 55%, draw 22%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vanraure Hachinohe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vanraure Hachinohe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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