Albirex Niigata 2-1 Kamatamare Sanuki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
24.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 26%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.99/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-34% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
419 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses 15.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
156 Passes 219
57% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Crosses 17
22.02.2026 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-3 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
2-1
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
385 Passes 220
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Kamatamare Sanuki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata nicked a narrow win over Kamatamare Sanuki 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Albirex Niigata as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 60% of the ball to Kamatamare Sanuki's 40%, shots finished 16-4.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Albirex Niigata 2-1 Kamatamare Sanuki in the JAP2-3 on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 47%, draw 26%, Kamatamare Sanuki 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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