Ventforet Kofu 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.11.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 3-2 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
17.04.2021 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 3-3 HT 1-3 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
13.12.2020 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
04.07.2020 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
14.04.2018 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
25.07.2015 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-0
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu nicked a narrow win over Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ventforet Kofu as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 45% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 55%, shots finished 4-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.50 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Ventforet Kofu 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga in the JAP2-3 on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 54%, draw 22%, Matsumoto Yamaga 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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