Tochigi City 1-3 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 28 Feb 2026

Tochigi City
1-3 HT 0-2
Shonan Bellmare
📅28/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
JAP2-3 – 2026

Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
16.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tochigi City v Shonan Bellmare — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 43%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-38% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tochigi City 1-3 Shonan Bellmare — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi City
1-3
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare beat Tochigi City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shonan Bellmare as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tochigi City had 53% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 47%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare?

Tochigi City 1-3 Shonan Bellmare in the JAP2-3 on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tochigi City 31%, draw 26%, Shonan Bellmare 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shonan Bellmare), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✓ BTTS Yes
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