Parceiro Nagano 1-2 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
63%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.32
2-3 Goals
33%
1.84
4-5 Goals
33%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
42%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
15%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
63%
Away Win
66%
-2.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 70%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+67% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
11.09.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
24.08.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
01.06.2024 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 4-1 HT 1-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
06.06.2018 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1-2
AWAY Omiya Ardija
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
293 Passes 260
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Parceiro Nagano vs Omiya Ardija
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Omiya Ardija edged past Parceiro Nagano 2-1 away from home in the JAP2-3 on 28 Feb 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 52% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 48%, shots finished 16-11.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija lead the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 1.25 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Omiya Ardija?

Parceiro Nagano 1-2 Omiya Ardija in the JAP2-3 on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 15%, draw 23%, Omiya Ardija 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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