ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-2 Blaublitz Akita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 31% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Blaublitz Akita EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Blaublitz Akita
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
159 Passes 182
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0 HT 0-0 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
26.05.2024 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 1-1 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
29.07.2023 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 0-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
18.02.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
18.09.2022 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 0-1 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
24.04.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 HT 0-1 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
3-2
AWAY Blaublitz Akita
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Blaublitz Akita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ThespaKusatsu Gunma edged past Blaublitz Akita 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Blaublitz Akita at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 55% of the ball to Blaublitz Akita's 45%, shots finished 12-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 0.33 for Blaublitz Akita.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Blaublitz Akita?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-2 Blaublitz Akita in the JAP2-3 on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Blaublitz Akita?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blaublitz Akita win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 28%, draw 25%, Blaublitz Akita 47%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Blaublitz Akita) ✗ Under 2.5
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