Stade Lavallois 2-1 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-37% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Concarneau
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.15 xG 1.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 Passes 536
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.07.2025 Concarneau Concarneau 2-3 HT 2-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois HAZ
30.11.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-2 HT 1-1 Concarneau Concarneau FRK
24.02.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 1-3 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
11.11.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-3 HT 0-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR2
18.04.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 2-2 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
22.11.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois squeezed past Concarneau 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stade Lavallois as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.83 for Concarneau.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Concarneau?

Stade Lavallois 2-1 Concarneau in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 46%, draw 24%, Concarneau 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Lavallois) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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