Concarneau 2-3 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
55%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.05
6+ Goals
8%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 32% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-5.3pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.6pp
55%
Away Win
44%
+10.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.9pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.94 xG 2.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
536 Passes 272
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-2 HT 1-1 Concarneau Concarneau FRK
24.02.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 1-3 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
11.11.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-3 HT 0-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR2
18.04.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 2-2 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
22.11.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
24.04.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-0 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
2-3
AWAY Stade Lavallois
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois squeezed past Concarneau 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stade Lavallois as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Concarneau had 44% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 56%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Concarneau and 1.33 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Stade Lavallois?

Concarneau 2-3 Stade Lavallois in the Friendlies on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 25%, draw 20%, Stade Lavallois 55%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Lavallois) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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