Deportivo Alaves 2-2 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 30% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.33
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
9%
12.25
X/1
12%
5.22
X/2
12%
6.52
X/X
14%
3.96
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
14%
4.74
2/X
5%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.25/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.26
-18% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.5 Crosses 19.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Girona
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.27
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
283 Passes 485
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2025 Girona Girona 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
30.07.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-1 Girona Girona HAZ
05.04.2025 Girona Girona 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
11.01.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS1
10.05.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-2 HT 1-2 Girona Girona İS1
18.12.2023 Girona Girona 3-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
2-2
AWAY Girona
1.94 xG 2.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
337 Passes 459
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves and Girona shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 44% of the ball to Girona's 56%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.94 to 2.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.33 for Girona.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Girona?

Deportivo Alaves 2-2 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 38%, draw 29%, Girona 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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