Celtic 2-2 Milan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

Celtic
2-2 HT 2-0
Milan
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2026/2027

Celtic vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.04
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
1/X
8%
11.65
X/1
14%
5.59
X/2
10%
6.81
X/X
9%
5.42
2/1
7%
22.25
2/2
14%
4.14
2/X
8%
12.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celtic v Milan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.24/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.50
-19% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
– Crosses 9.2
– Yellow Cards 0.8

Celtic vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Milan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.04 xG 1.10
44% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 Passes 438
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2020 Milan Milan 4-2 HT 2-2 Celtic Celtic AVL
22.10.2020 Celtic Celtic 1-3 HT 0-2 Milan Milan AVL
26.11.2013 Celtic Celtic 0-3 HT 0-1 Milan Milan ŞMP
18.09.2013 Milan Milan 2-0 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic ŞMP
04.12.2007 Milan Milan 1-0 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic ŞMP
03.10.2007 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 0-0 Milan Milan ŞMP
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Milan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic and Milan shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Celtic at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Celtic and 2.33 for Milan.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Milan?

Celtic 2-2 Milan in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Milan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Celtic 43%, draw 25%, Milan 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celtic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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