Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 Borussia Dortmund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-1 HT 0-1
Borussia Dortmund
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Friendlies – 2026/2027

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.09
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
65%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.74
Over 2.5
64%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.02
2-3 Goals
41%
2.06
4-5 Goals
23%
2.45
6+ Goals
17%
5.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.85
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
17.8
1/X
7%
17.85
X/1
6%
12.55
X/2
19%
4.17
X/X
6%
7.91
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
32%
1.73
2/X
4%
16.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 17.8 — our 13% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
17%
+1.3pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.4pp
65%
Away Win
64%
+0.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
33%
+3.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
67%
-3.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.3pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund EU Bookmakers 69%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/1.93
-9% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -45%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 480 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
– Crosses 9.8
– Yellow Cards 1.9

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.91 xG 1.83
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
301 Passes 674
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
11 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.01.2023 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 5-1 HT 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf HAZ
13.06.2020 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-1 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
07.12.2019 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 5-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1
11.05.2019 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-2 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1
07.01.2019 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-2 HT 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf HAZ
18.12.2018 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Borussia Dortmund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf squeezed past Borussia Dortmund 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Borussia Dortmund carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 3.00 for Borussia Dortmund.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Borussia Dortmund?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 Borussia Dortmund in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Borussia Dortmund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 18%, draw 17%, Borussia Dortmund 65%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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