Le Mans FC 1-0 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

Le Mans FC
1-0 HT 0-0
Nantes
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Le Mans FC vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.8
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
12%
12.95
X/1
10%
5.89
X/2
18%
5.53
X/X
16%
5.06
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
9%
3.45
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.5pp
35%
Draw
27%
+8.5pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Mans FC v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 42%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.67/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.57
+17% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Le Mans FC vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nantes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
02.02.2013 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Nantes Nantes FR2
27.08.2012 Nantes Nantes 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
13.03.2012 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR2
09.09.2011 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
27.05.2011 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 3-2 HT 0-2 Nantes Nantes FR2
09.08.2010 Nantes Nantes 0-2 HT 0-2 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC squeezed past Nantes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 35% / 33%) promised a tight game; Le Mans FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Le Mans FC and 1.33 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Nantes?

Le Mans FC 1-0 Nantes in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 32%, draw 35%, Nantes 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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