Queens Park Rangers 3-2 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.92
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
16%
6.02
X/2
15%
5.51
X/X
10%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
27.5
2/2
15%
3.42
2/X
9%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
2.03/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/2.63
+43% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
3-2
AWAY Fiorentina
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Fiorentina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers edged past Fiorentina 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Queens Park Rangers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Fiorentina?

Queens Park Rangers 3-2 Fiorentina in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Fiorentina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 41%, draw 24%, Fiorentina 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queens Park Rangers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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