Schalke 04 3-1 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

Schalke 04
3-1 HT 2-1
Fagiano Okayama
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Schalke 04 vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 29% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.94
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
31%
4.1
X/2
7%
11.0
X/X
12%
5.76
2/1
10%
21.4
2/2
6%
8.72
2/X
5%
16.7
Value flag · X/1 at 4.1 — our 31% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
60%
-0.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.0pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Schalke 04 v Fagiano Okayama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.43/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+20% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Schalke 04 3-1 Fagiano Okayama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
3-1
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
18 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 beat Fagiano Okayama 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Schalke 04 as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 18-5.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Fagiano Okayama?

Schalke 04 3-1 Fagiano Okayama in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 59%, draw 21%, Fagiano Okayama 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schalke 04), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✓ BTTS Yes
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