Lietava Jonava 1-0 Garliava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.7pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Garliava EU Bookmakers 39%
-25% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.53/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.12
-61% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lietava Jonava
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Garliava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Garliava Garliava 2-0 HT 1-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
01.09.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 2-1 HT 1-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
15.04.2023 Garliava Garliava 1-1 HT 1-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lietava Jonava
1-0
AWAY Garliava
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lietava Jonava vs Garliava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava squeezed past Garliava 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Lietava Jonava made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lietava Jonava and 1.33 for Garliava.

What was the final score of Lietava Jonava vs Garliava?

Lietava Jonava 1-0 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lietava Jonava vs Garliava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Garliava win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lietava Jonava 33%, draw 29%, Garliava 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Garliava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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