Ajka 3-1 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
0.88/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.36
-28% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
14.03.2026 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
21.09.2025 Ajka Ajka 1-3 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC2
06.02.2022 Ajka Ajka 1-3 HT 0-3 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC2
15.08.2021 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-1 HT 1-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
3-1
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
6 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka beat Kecskemeti TE 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kecskemeti TE at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 6-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kecskemeti TE led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ajka and 2.25 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Kecskemeti TE?

Ajka 3-1 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB II on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kecskemeti TE win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ajka 27%, draw 30%, Kecskemeti TE 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kecskemeti TE), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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