Kisvarda 1-1 Budapest Honved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 25 Jul 2026

Kisvarda
1-1 HT 0-0
Budapest Honved
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2026/2027

Kisvarda vs Budapest Honved Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.33
6+ Goals
8%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 33% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kisvarda v Budapest Honved — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Budapest Honved EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.52/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.28
-7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
27.5 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kisvarda vs Budapest Honved Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kisvarda
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Budapest Honved
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2025 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 3-0 HT 0-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC2
25.11.2024 Kisvarda Kisvarda 1-1 HT 0-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC2
29.04.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 2-2 HT 1-1 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
04.02.2023 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 1-1 HT 0-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
04.09.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-1 HT 0-1 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
30.04.2022 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 1-1 HT 1-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC

Kisvarda 1-1 Budapest Honved — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
1-1
AWAY Budapest Honved
1.36 xG 0.91
15 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
174 Passes 476
20 Box Touches 42
12 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs Budapest Honved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kisvarda and Budapest Honved couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.36 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Budapest Honved led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kisvarda and 1.50 for Budapest Honved.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs Budapest Honved?

Kisvarda 1-1 Budapest Honved in the Hungary - NB I on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs Budapest Honved?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kisvarda win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 40%, draw 30%, Budapest Honved 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kisvarda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kisvarda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →