Lechia Gdansk 0-3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
9.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
26%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+8.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
51%
Away Win
59%
-7.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2025 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0-1 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POLK
24.09.2024 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-1 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
0-3
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki cruised past Lechia Gdansk 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 10-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 0.50 for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Lechia Gdansk 0-3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 1st Division on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 28%, draw 21%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✓ Over 2.5
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