Chemnitzer FC 2-3 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+9.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.81/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.27
+7% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Babelsberg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.03.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-0 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
29.08.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
30.04.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
13.11.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-2 HT 0-2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
11.12.2021 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
27.07.2021 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-1 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babelsberg squeezed past Chemnitzer FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Babelsberg made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babelsberg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 0.67 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Babelsberg?

Chemnitzer FC 2-3 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 38%, draw 26%, Babelsberg 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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