Atletico Tigre 5-1 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

Atletico Tigre
5-1 HT 2-0
Union Santa Fe
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Atletico Tigre vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
13%
6.83
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.09
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
11%
6.0
X/2
12%
4.8
X/X
21%
3.13
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
3.71
2/X
4%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
33%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-1.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+1.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.5pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Tigre v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.00/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.96
-33% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.1 Crosses 19.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Atletico Tigre vs Union Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tigre
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
349 Passes 260
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
26.11.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
16.04.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
05.06.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
04.05.2019 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-3 HT 1-2 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJSK
30.04.2019 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-2 HT 0-2 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJSK

Atletico Tigre 5-1 Union Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tigre
5-1
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.61 xG 1.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
229 Passes 298
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Atletico Tigre vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tigre swept aside Union Santa Fe 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Atletico Tigre made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Tigre had 44% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 56%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.61 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Santa Fe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Tigre and 1.00 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Atletico Tigre vs Union Santa Fe?

Atletico Tigre 5-1 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tigre vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tigre 29%, draw 31%, Union Santa Fe 40%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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