Lanus 1-1 Godoy Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

Lanus
1-1 HT 1-0
Godoy Cruz
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Lanus vs Godoy Cruz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.51
Over 2.5
31%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.52
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.24 — our 40% vs market 37.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.95
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.0
X/1
15%
4.17
X/2
9%
6.97
X/X
19%
3.69
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
12%
6.04
2/X
7%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.7pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lanus v Godoy Cruz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.56/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.22
+18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.8 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Lanus vs Godoy Cruz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Godoy Cruz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.40 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
294 Passes 288
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.02.2024 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
02.09.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-2 HT 1-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
18.04.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 4-4 HT 3-4 Lanus Lanus ARJ
17.07.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-1 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
14.07.2022 Lanus Lanus 1-3 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJK
25.04.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-1 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ

Lanus 1-1 Godoy Cruz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
1-1
AWAY Godoy Cruz
2.07 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
349 Passes 310
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Godoy Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus and Godoy Cruz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lanus at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Lanus had 51% of the ball to Godoy Cruz's 49%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 2.07 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Godoy Cruz led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lanus and 2.17 for Godoy Cruz.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Godoy Cruz?

Lanus 1-1 Godoy Cruz in the Argentina - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Godoy Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lanus 41%, draw 32%, Godoy Cruz 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lanus), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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