Hwaseong 1-0 Yangpyeong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.74
Over 2.5
62%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
54%
-15.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
46%
+15.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.33/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.57
-8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Yangpyeong
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
28.04.2024 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 2-1 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
16.09.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 3-1 HT 1-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
21.05.2023 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 1-3 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong nicked a narrow win over Yangpyeong 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hwaseong as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hwaseong had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hwaseong and 1.33 for Yangpyeong.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?

Hwaseong 1-0 Yangpyeong in the South Kore - K3 League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 50%, draw 24%, Yangpyeong 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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