Ulsan Citizen 1-4 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.99
No
44%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.1pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
46%
+9.6pp
44%
BTTS No
54%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 53%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.01/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.26
-12% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
28.04.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-2 HT 1-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
01.07.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
18.03.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
20.08.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
23.04.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-2 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
15.09.2021 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP swept aside Ulsan Citizen 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gyeongju HNP as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 1.17 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?

Ulsan Citizen 1-4 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 26%, draw 32%, Gyeongju HNP 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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