Saburtalo 3-0 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.69/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.20
+16% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
15.03.2024 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
02.12.2023 Saburtalo 0-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
29.09.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
01.06.2023 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
21.04.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-3 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
3-0
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo cruised past Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Saburtalo had 42% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 58%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Saburtalo and 1.17 for Dinamo Tbilisi.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Saburtalo 3-0 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 41%, draw 27%, Dinamo Tbilisi 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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