Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.81
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.15
6+ Goals
10%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.47
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
14%
6.05
X/2
8%
4.98
X/X
16%
4.11
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.4
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +0%
1.17/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.21
-3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
18.2 Crosses 20.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slask Wroclaw
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.98 xG 1.35
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
252 Passes 435
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-0 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
21.10.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 4-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
27.05.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-1 HT 2-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
13.11.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 0-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
07.03.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-0 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
11.09.2021 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 1-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slask Wroclaw
1-1
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.97 xG 0.95
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
181 Passes 388
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Slask Wroclaw vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slask Wroclaw and Legia Varşova couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Slask Wroclaw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Slask Wroclaw had 34% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 66%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.97 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slask Wroclaw and 0.67 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Slask Wroclaw vs Legia Varşova?

Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slask Wroclaw vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slask Wroclaw win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Slask Wroclaw 41%, draw 26%, Legia Varşova 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) ✓ Under 2.5
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