Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lech Poznan v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals
Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 3-0
Lech Poznan
POL
2-2
HT 1-1
Pogon Szczecin
POL
2-2
HT 1-1
Lech Poznan
POL
0-1
HT 0-1
Pogon Szczecin
HAZ
Lech Poznan 2-0 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics
Lech Poznan got the better of Pogon Szczecin 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Lech Poznan had 56% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 44%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 2.75 to 0.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lech Poznan and 1.83 for Pogon Szczecin.
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin?
Lech Poznan 2-0 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 41%, draw 28%, Pogon Szczecin 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.