Krylya Sovetov 3-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

Krylya Sovetov
3-1 HT 0-0
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Krylya Sovetov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.28
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
13%
3.98
X/2
10%
9.0
X/X
9%
4.9
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
15%
7.1
2/X
9%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Krylya Sovetov v Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.70/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.50
-18% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.4 Crosses 14.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Krylya Sovetov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
451 Passes 245
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
23.04.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
30.10.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
28.11.2021 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
17.10.2021 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
02.06.2019 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov saw off Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Krylya Sovetov as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pari Nizhny Novgorod led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 1.00 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Krylya Sovetov 3-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 42%, draw 25%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✗ Under 2.5
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