Beijing Guoan 4-0 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.33
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.14
Over 2.5
69%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.26
2-3 Goals
38%
2.21
4-5 Goals
31%
2.29
6+ Goals
14%
3.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.51
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.8
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.16
X/2
5%
16.65
X/X
6%
9.29
2/1
5%
17.1
2/2
7%
12.0
2/X
6%
20.3
Value flag · X/1 at 4.16 — our 25% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
70%
-2.7pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.6pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.1pp
31%
Under 2.5
28%
+2.8pp
69%
Over 2.5
72%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 16%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.07/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.27
+12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +32%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
448 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
35.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
21.6 Crosses 12.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
402 Passes 299
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2025 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-4 HT 1-3 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
07.07.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-2 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
30.03.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
16.07.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
20.04.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
08.11.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-2 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
4-0
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
3.55 xG 0.39
74% Ball Possession 26%
22 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
540 Passes 154
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 4
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan ran out comfortable winners over Wuhan Three Towns 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 74% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 26%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 3.55 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.67 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Beijing Guoan 4-0 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 68%, draw 17%, Wuhan Three Towns 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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