Seattle Sounders 5-2 Sporting Kansas City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.91
2-3 Goals
36%
2.05
4-5 Goals
28%
2.46
6+ Goals
15%
5.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
9%
4.37
X/2
8%
11.05
X/X
11%
7.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
18.0
2/2
10%
7.58
2/X
5%
15.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.0 — our 14% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.9pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.88/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.84
-8% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
22.9 Crosses 15.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.12 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
420 Passes 385
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2025 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-3 HT 0-3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
16.09.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
09.06.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-1 HT 1-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
07.05.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-2 HT 0-2 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
26.03.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-4 HT 1-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
03.10.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
5-2
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
4.34 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
497 Passes 433
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders ran out comfortable winners over Sporting Kansas City 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 52% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 48%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 4.34 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Seattle Sounders and 1.33 for Sporting Kansas City.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City?

Seattle Sounders 5-2 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 55%, draw 22%, Sporting Kansas City 23%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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