Charlotte 1-0 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.62
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.74
X/2
9%
7.42
X/X
11%
5.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.95
2/2
10%
5.22
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.95 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.21/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.55
-28% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.2 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
0W-3D-3L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.02 xG 1.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
405 Passes 284
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-2 HT 2-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
25.08.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
30.05.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.10.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 5-2 HT 3-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
22.06.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-2 HT 0-2 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.03.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
1-0
AWAY New York Red Bulls
0.50 xG 1.69
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
317 Passes 507
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte squeezed past New York Red Bulls 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Charlotte had 40% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 60%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.50 to 1.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured New York Red Bulls.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Charlotte and 2.67 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls?

Charlotte 1-0 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 51%, draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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