Colwyn Bay 1-1 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
6.35
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
71%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.61
6+ Goals
13%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
32%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
12%
-0.3pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.0pp
71%
Away Win
70%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 75%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.23/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.83/0.68
+52% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +41%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
206 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colwyn Bay
0W-0D-4L
AWAY The New Saints
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 4-1 HT 1-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALWK
31.10.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 6-1 HT 1-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
29.08.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 0-1 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
20.03.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 1-0 HT 1-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALWK
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay and The New Saints shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had The New Saints at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Colwyn Bay and 3.00 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs The New Saints?

Colwyn Bay 1-1 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 12%, draw 17%, The New Saints 71%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (The New Saints) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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