Caernarfon Town 2-0 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 22%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.90/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.26
-4% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caernarfon Town
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Bala Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2025 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 5-0 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
31.01.2025 Bala Town Bala Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
11.01.2025 Bala Town Bala Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
31.12.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 0-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
26.08.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
21.04.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
POST-MATCH Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town saw off Bala Town 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Caernarfon Town as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Caernarfon Town and 0.50 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town?

Caernarfon Town 2-0 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 55%, draw 22%, Bala Town 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caernarfon Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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