Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Bala Town — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Caernarfon Town 5-0 Bala Town — Actual Match Statistics
Caernarfon Town ran out comfortable winners over Bala Town 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Caernarfon Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Caernarfon Town had 57% of the ball to Bala Town's 43%, shots finished 11-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Caernarfon Town and 0.67 for Bala Town.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town?
Caernarfon Town 5-0 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 36%, draw 23%, Bala Town 41%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bala Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.