Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bala Town v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Caernarfon Town
GAL
Bala Town 1-3 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Caernarfon Town beat Bala Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Caernarfon Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bala Town had 46% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 54%, shots finished 12-17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bala Town and 1.00 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town?
Bala Town 1-3 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 39%, draw 28%, Caernarfon Town 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.