Newtown vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newtown v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Newtown vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
Newtown 2-3 Connahs Quay — Actual Match Statistics
Connahs Quay nicked a narrow win over Newtown 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Newtown had 43% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 57%, shots finished 6-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Newtown and 1.67 for Connahs Quay.
What was the final score of Newtown vs Connahs Quay?
Newtown 2-3 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newtown vs Connahs Quay?
Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newtown 30%, draw 27%, Connahs Quay 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.