Newtown vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newtown v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Newtown vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
3-1
HT 1-1
Newtown
GAL
2-0
HT 0-0
Newtown
GAL
Newtown 0-3 Connahs Quay — Actual Match Statistics
Connahs Quay swept aside Newtown 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Newtown had 31% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 69%, shots finished 8-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Newtown and 1.83 for Connahs Quay.
What was the final score of Newtown vs Connahs Quay?
Newtown 0-3 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newtown vs Connahs Quay?
Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Newtown 29%, draw 24%, Connahs Quay 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.